Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 113.685534 129.359923 146.694992 167.337004 191.309804 218.347358 251.254649
2025-12-14 90.062399 110.102997 134.130743 165.243803 204.728407 253.513709 318.891211
2025-12-21 77.877492 100.177434 128.503137 167.486876 220.312551 290.216383 391.076004
2025-12-28 71.080807 95.324898 127.620441 174.387700 241.373072 335.382939 480.034843
2026-01-04 64.760617 89.941036 124.858163 177.665417 257.007392 374.223937 565.150036
2026-01-11 58.393266 83.552675 119.661262 176.358839 265.176538 402.466678 637.746358
2026-01-18 54.583113 80.317003 118.466425 180.543253 281.756414 445.209434 739.608203
2026-01-25 50.299128 75.852452 114.830796 180.295926 290.922395 476.778896 827.066667
2026-02-01 47.099518 72.691530 112.798199 182.222491 303.642912 515.593868 933.197241
2026-02-08 43.175515 67.985113 107.789183 178.532189 306.060882 536.363377 1008.528443
2026-02-15 40.713706 65.410122 105.978869 180.031338 317.702685 575.130083 1125.070506
2026-02-22 38.279583 62.651124 103.570760 180.143903 326.671894 609.814241 1238.860970
2026-03-01 34.595525 57.709495 97.400221 173.609307 323.891794 624.471816 1320.529861
2026-03-08 31.951334 54.369633 93.784247 171.545105 329.861660 658.402339 1454.056018
2026-03-15 30.229991 52.489518 92.575758 173.891067 344.985489 713.914145 1650.405581
2026-03-22 29.309454 51.960629 93.777004 181.090978 371.254717 798.243708 1937.947235
2026-03-29 27.996521 50.567862 93.178071 184.511159 389.785741 868.186054 2206.143439
2026-04-05 26.262640 48.213279 90.468153 183.147758 397.321632 913.282619 2418.149873
2026-04-12 25.296393 47.257441 90.430549 187.514345 418.769189 996.525793 2761.911138
2026-04-19 23.945340 45.419813 88.419686 187.256235 429.081171 1053.149006 3041.567802
2026-04-26 22.920458 44.150986 87.462968 189.266845 445.293840 1128.503236 3402.473560
2026-05-03 21.459132 41.867550 84.152928 185.415658 446.025271 1161.407993 3632.702636
2026-05-10 20.572765 40.712113 83.166926 186.980113 461.175999 1238.327910 4039.473826